If I were a betting person, these are the films I would put my money on tomorrow night (March 7) to win this year's Academy Awards. (Personally, I'm rooting for Bright Star, Inglourious Basterds, A Single Man, Fantastic Mr. Fox and An Education.)
It will still boil down to The Hurt Locker vs. Avatar, and I think that The Hurt Locker will prevail.
(Likely) Winner: The Hurt Locker
Runner-Up: Avatar
2nd Runner-Up (only for this category as there are 10 nominees): Inglourious Basterds
Best Director
Again, it's The Hurt Locker (Kathryn Bigelow) vs. Avatar (James Cameron), and I think that Bigelow will walk away with this one as well (making her the first woman to do so).
Winner: Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker)
Runner-Up: James Cameron (Avatar)
Best Original Screenplay
Quentin Tarantino (Inglourious Basterds) is the front-runner here, but he could face an upset from Oscar-winners Joel and Ethan Coen (A Serious Man) or from Mark Boal should The Hurt Locker build up a sweep.
Winner: Quentin Tarantino (Inglourious Basterds)
Runner-Up: Mark Boal (The Hurt Locker)
Best Adapted Screenplay
As it goes in a few categories, this one is Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner's (Up in the Air) to lose.
Winners: Jason Reitman & Sheldon Turner (Up in the Air)
Runner-Up: Geoffrey Fletcher (Precious)
Best Actor
Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart) pretty much has this one locked up, although Colin Firth (A Single Man) did give a very strong, award-winning performance as well.
Winner: Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart)
Runner-Up: Colin Firth (A Single Man)
Best Actress
I never thought I would be saying this, but it looks like Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side) is going to win. However, Carey Mulligan (An Education), Gabourey Sidibe (Precious) and Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia) are close behind, and I could see any of them walking away with the Oscar.
Winner: Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side)
Runner-Up: Carey Mulligan (An Education)
Best Supporting Actor
This one is Christoph Waltz's (Inglourious Basterds) to lose.
Winner: Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds)
Runner-Up: Woody Harrelson (The Messenger)
Best Supporting Actress
This one is Mo'Nique's (Precious) to lose.
Winner: Mo'Nique (Precious)
Runner-Up: Vera Farmiga (Up in the Air)
Best Foreign Film
The White Ribbon has been winning the majority in this category at other awards, but A Prophet has an outside chance.
Winner: The White Ribbon
Runner-Up: A Prophet
Best Documentary
The Cove has been winning the majority in this category at other awards, but Food, Inc. has been picking up a few awards here and there too.
Winner: The Cove
Runner-Up: Food, Inc.
Best Animated Film
Pixar will continue its dominance in this category.
Winner: Up
Runner-Up: Fantastic Mr. Fox
Best Animated, Live-Action and Documentary Shorts
I really am not sure what will win in these three categories (especially seeing as I've only seen one of them in each category), so I'm just going to pick one for each.
Random Picks: Logorama, Miracle Fish and China's Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan Province (respectively)
Best Cinematography, Editing, Sound Mixing and Sound Editing
As it goes a lot of the time with the Oscars, I'm going to predict that there will be a sweep. This year these four categories all fall into the epic The Hurt Locker vs. Avatar battle. If I'm correct and there is a sweep, all four of these awards will likely go to the people from The Hurt Locker. If there isn't a sweep, they'll likely be split between the two films, with the people from Inglourious Basterds also having a fair shot.
Winners: the nominees for The Hurt Locker
Runners-Up: the nominees for Avatar
Best Visual Effects
This is Avatar's to lose.
Winners: Joe Letteri, Stephen Rosenbaum, Richard Baneham & Andrew R. Jones (Avatar)
Runners-Up: Dan Kaufman, Peter Muyzers, Robert Habros & Matt Aitken (District 9)
Best Original Song
I will be very surprised if "The Weary Kind" (Crazy Heart) doesn't win.
Winner: "The Weary Kind" (Crazy Heart)
Runner-Up: "Take It All" (Nine)
Best Score
This is Michael Giacchino's (Up) to lose.
Winner: Michael Giacchino (Up)
Runners-Up: Marco Beltrami & Buck Sanders (The Hurt Locker)
Best Art Direction
I don't exactly agree with it (as I think this particular film's art direction falls into the visual effects category), but the team from Avatar has been winning the awards leading up to this, and will likely continue.
Winners: Rick Carter, Kim Sinclair & Robert Stromberg (Avatar)
Runners-Up: Maggie Gray & Patrice Vermette (The Young Victoria)
Best Costume Design
Sandy Powell (The Young Victoria) has been winning a lot of awards leading up to this, so there's no reason to believe she won't win the Oscar.
Winner: Sandy Powell (The Young Victoria)
Runner-Up: Janet Patterson (Bright Star)
Best Makeup
Out of the three films nominated, Star Trek seems like the winner to me.
Winners: Barney Burman, Mindy Hall & Joel Harlow (Star Trek)
Runners-Up: Jon Henry Gordon & Jenny Shircore (The Young Victoria)
The complete list of nominees can be found here.
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